Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clark | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 15-15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| J. Porter | 36 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - |
| T. Moore | 35 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Paez | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| H. Rivers | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Brown | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Thomas | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Brady | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Hannaway | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Simon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mason | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Hood | 29 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| A. Harper | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Robinson | 23 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| A. Branch | 23 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Turpin | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Jacobs | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Smith | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Bynum | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter