Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.