Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | -0.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Avant | 38 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| K. Yelle | 33 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Nash | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| M. Johnson | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Peppers | 26 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. Williams | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Gill | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bell | 38 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| K. Watson | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| F. Marshall | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. McTyer | 23 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| R. Webb | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Q. Young | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| P. Tucker | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jimmy Bishop | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Ludgood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter