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Duke Blue Devils 86
@
NC State Wolfpack 74
2005-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Margin 70.7% 29.3% -4.8 ✓ (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% - ✓

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -12 (74-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ewing * 38 4-12 2-7 7-8 3 4 3 0 1 17 14 -
J. Redick * 35 1-5 0-4 6-6 7 2 0 0 3 8 9 -
S. Williams * 32 8-12 0-0 6-6 6 1 2 3 3 22 19 -
S. Dockery * 26 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 2 7 -
L. Melchionni * 25 6-9 3-6 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 16 9 -
D. Nelson 28 5-11 2-4 3-5 4 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
D. McClure 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
P. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Davidson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hodge * 38 3-10 0-1 7-10 6 4 0 1 5 13 9 -
E. Atsur * 37 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 7 4 -
C. Bennerman * 34 7-10 2-4 4-4 4 2 2 0 0 20 18 -
A. Brackman * 25 2-5 0-0 5-7 4 1 0 1 0 9 10 -
I. Evtimov * 20 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 4 2 -
J. Collins 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 3 2 5 2 -
G. Grant 16 4-7 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 9 4 -
L. Watkins 8 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
C. Simmons 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter