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2005-01-13

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.0% 44.0% -
Margin 53.0% 47.0% -0.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -4 (82-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farmar * 35 6-11 1-3 7-7 6 5 3 0 6 20 17 -
D. Thompson * 34 6-13 1-6 6-6 5 4 2 0 2 19 15 -
A. Afflalo * 30 7-12 1-4 2-2 0 4 0 1 2 17 8 -
J. Shipp * 27 4-9 1-2 0-2 9 0 1 0 0 9 10 -
M. Fey * 26 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 10 7 -
Brian Morrison 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
R. Hollins 20 2-3 1-1 1-2 5 1 0 1 0 6 10 -
L. Mata-Real 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Diogu * 40 6-16 0-3 3-7 9 4 0 1 3 15 10 -
S. Moore * 36 3-13 0-5 1-3 4 4 1 0 1 7 2 -
S. Angounou * 30 6-11 0-0 1-1 11 0 1 0 3 13 11 -
J. Braxton * 27 2-4 0-0 5-7 3 2 3 0 1 9 12 -
B. Krueger * 22 6-9 4-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 16 11 -
K. Kruger 28 3-10 2-8 10-11 1 6 0 0 0 18 15 -
A. Morill 9 2-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 4 2 -
T. Jackson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter