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Mississippi State Bulldogs 63
@
Tennessee Volunteers 64
2005-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 ✓ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% - ✗
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% - ✗

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Roberts * 38 7-13 0-0 8-12 13 3 1 0 3 22 23 -
Shane Power * 37 7-13 2-6 1-2 6 3 0 0 1 17 12 -
G. Ervin * 37 0-4 0-2 3-4 3 4 0 0 5 3 1 -
J. Edmondson * 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
M. Campbell * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 2 1 -
O. Harper 26 3-9 0-4 0-0 9 1 1 0 2 6 6 -
D. Slater 25 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 7 8 -
W. Sharpe 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Patterson * 36 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 8 9 -
C. Lofton * 35 3-9 2-7 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 8 6 -
S. McFadgon * 32 6-13 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 1 1 14 7 -
Brandon Crump * 16 4-9 1-2 3-4 2 2 1 2 0 12 10 -
C.J. Watson 38 3-9 1-4 2-2 3 9 3 0 3 9 12 -
M. Wingate 13 3-5 0-0 1-3 2 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
D. Bradshaw 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Hendrix 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
S. Asumnu 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter