Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +1 (66-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.