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2005-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 62.3% 37.7% -2.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 81.8% 18.2% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% -
Log Adjusted 95.8% 4.2% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -6 (78-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 41 11-19 6-10 6-7 9 4 1 0 3 34 26 -
A. Horford * 36 4-6 0-0 0-2 10 0 2 3 3 8 14 -
L. Humphrey * 35 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 8 3 -
C. Brewer * 35 6-6 0-0 2-5 3 1 3 1 3 14 13 -
D. Lee * 33 3-7 0-0 4-6 8 3 4 0 6 10 12 -
T. Green 23 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 8 8 -
A. Moss 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Noah 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -3 -
C. Richard 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Ingram 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Douglas * 44 12-23 3-9 5-5 4 3 3 0 4 32 15 -
I. Young * 44 3-11 2-7 4-4 3 5 3 0 4 12 8 -
Q. Brown * 42 9-15 1-3 2-5 7 3 1 0 3 21 14 -
N. Watson * 41 4-11 1-5 0-0 11 2 1 0 1 9 11 -
D. Hayles * 29 2-6 0-2 0-2 5 3 0 0 2 4 4 -
F. Tolbert 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
L. Jackson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Daniel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Gaines 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter