Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +1 (59-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 40 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. McCraw | 39 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| T. Keller | 33 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. Welch | 14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Holum | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Qedan | 36 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| P. Marigney | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Kickert | 30 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Sanders | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Collins | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| F. Adjiwanou | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Walberg | 24 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter