Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Steele * | 38 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Davis * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| E. Shelton * | 36 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| J. Davidson * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| J. Roberson * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Felix | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Brock | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Weber | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| O. Famutimi * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| E. Ferguson * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Thomas * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Hill * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| D. Townes | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Modica | 24 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Sullivan | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter