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2005-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Valparaiso Beacons Oakland Golden Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 โœ— (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.5% 59.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—

Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies -9 (78-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Colclasure 39 3-8 2-7 2-2 4 10 2 0 2 10 16 -
D. Oppland 35 10-15 1-1 2-3 7 1 0 0 1 23 15 -
R. Howard 31 7-10 2-4 2-2 3 5 1 0 3 18 14 -
J. Loyd 30 3-6 0-1 4-4 4 5 0 0 1 10 12 -
M. Mbaye 27 3-3 0-0 3-6 6 0 1 0 1 9 12 -
S. Huff 16 1-3 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
V. Humphrey 9 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
J. Miles 9 3-3 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 9 3 -
A. Williams 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cortney Scott 39 9-12 0-0 6-9 7 1 0 1 0 24 21 -
Rawle Marshall 38 7-16 2-5 14-17 6 0 2 0 3 30 19 -
K. Krzyminski 37 1-5 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
B. Cassise 32 2-7 2-7 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 6 5 -
P. McCloskey 18 1-3 0-0 4-4 5 2 0 1 2 6 9 -
P. Dukes 15 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
D. Ishmeal 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Carson 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -

* = starter