Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (27.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +35 (85-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Wright | 31 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Z. Graber | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Freeman | 28 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Darius Eason | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Richard Hardman | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Willis | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Jacobs | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Pridgeon | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Muldrow | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Knight | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Korolev | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cuyler | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Cuffee | 26 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Dean | 25 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| B. Smithson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Weekes | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Young | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Morrison | 20 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Steve Thomas | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Christmas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L.T. Lockett | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Durrant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Feher | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter