Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Moore | 37 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| R. Marentez | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| F. Abdelsamad | 31 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J. Stearns | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Butts | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Carlyle | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Morton | 37 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 9-16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| R. Porter | 36 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| S. Williams | 32 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Bell | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Ost | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Calicott | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Schille | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Henning | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter