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2005-01-10

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 62.8% 37.2% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Moore 37 9-16 2-5 5-6 7 3 3 0 1 25 21 -
R. Marentez 34 2-4 0-1 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
F. Abdelsamad 31 6-13 3-9 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 16 5 -
J. Stearns 30 4-7 2-4 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 10 10 -
P. Rasmussen 18 1-2 1-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 5 6 -
M. Butts 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 1 0 2 8 -
T. Juillerat 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -3 -
R. Ehsan 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Carlyle 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
A. Warmerdam 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Morton 37 8-10 0-0 9-16 7 0 0 1 0 25 23 -
R. Porter 36 4-7 3-6 3-5 3 2 1 0 1 14 12 -
S. Williams 32 4-8 2-3 2-2 5 3 1 0 6 12 7 -
J. Bell 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 0 2 -
B. Ost 21 3-5 1-1 2-3 0 3 0 0 2 9 5 -
M. Calicott 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 2 6 -
L. Cunningham 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 0 3 -
K. Schille 12 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
J. Henning 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter