Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Gordon | 35 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| T. Guidry | 30 | 8-21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | -2 | - |
| G. Alexander | 28 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Vince Greene | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| N. Plank | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Ford | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Ford | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Burton | 36 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| B. Strickland | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Lucious Wagner | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 31 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| M. Webster | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| E. Ottens | 9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Petty | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Gore | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Phifer | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| F. Calvez | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter