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2005-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% -
Log Adjusted 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lorenzo Gordon 35 9-17 0-0 6-11 14 0 1 0 2 24 20 -
T. Guidry 30 8-21 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 19 -2 -
G. Alexander 28 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Vince Greene 26 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 4 2 -
G. Dilligard 24 2-8 0-0 2-3 7 1 2 2 1 6 9 -
N. Plank 22 3-9 0-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
D. Ford 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Ford 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
N. Onyeuku 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Burton 36 5-13 0-1 7-11 4 3 0 0 3 17 8 -
B. Strickland 34 7-10 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 5 1 14 14 -
Lucious Wagner 32 3-9 1-3 6-6 4 4 0 1 2 13 11 -
K. Anslinger 31 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
M. Webster 31 5-12 1-4 3-3 9 3 0 1 2 14 13 -
E. Ottens 9 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
J. Petty 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
D. Gore 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 -
C. Phifer 7 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
F. Calvez 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -

* = starter