Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.4% | 96.6% | +18.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +30 (78-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.