Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Fazekas | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| K. Pinkney | 33 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| R. Sessions | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| J. Washington | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Shiloh | 28 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Charlo | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Bell | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Taylor | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hopkins | 36 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| D. Roberts | 35 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Castro | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Pearson | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Isham | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| P. Simpson | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Knowles | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Killen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter