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2005-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 36 1-9 0-4 5-6 1 4 3 0 3 7 3 -
D. Cooper 33 5-10 4-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 16 8 -
D. Wilson 29 2-3 0-0 3-6 1 1 2 0 2 7 6 -
B. Sullivan 21 1-7 0-1 2-3 3 2 0 2 3 4 1 -
D. Vance 21 2-4 0-0 2-5 3 1 0 2 0 6 8 -
K. Aaker 19 4-6 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 11 8 -
M. Lewis 18 2-6 0-0 5-6 10 3 0 1 3 9 14 -
A. Gahlmann 16 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 3 5 -
J. Dominguez 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Averette 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Perkins 35 2-5 1-4 7-12 8 4 2 0 1 12 20 -
K. Bailey 34 1-9 0-4 2-2 2 6 2 1 4 4 2 -
E. Rohde 27 0-7 0-5 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 2 2 -
T. Niesen 26 13-18 0-0 9-9 6 1 0 0 2 35 22 -
J. Legge 23 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 4 1 0 2 2 9 -
B. Angley 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
S. Denison 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
M. Henke 8 1-3 1-1 2-4 2 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
S. Dougherty 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
T. Parham 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Borchart 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter