Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Head * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| D. Brown * | 33 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Williams * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Powell * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| R. McBride | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Ingram | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nick Smith | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Teague * | 39 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| B. McKnight * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Landry * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Heber * | 26 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| X. Price * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Dillon | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Davis | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Ford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Ware | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter