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2005-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% -
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Log Adjusted 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.S. Nash * 32 1-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
J. Fontenet * 30 3-10 1-8 6-6 2 7 2 0 4 13 10 -
D. Lucas * 27 5-9 0-0 5-6 7 0 2 1 2 15 14 -
L. Hurd * 23 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 0 3 -
S. Cuic * 21 3-5 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 8 5 -
N. Dewitz 26 5-9 2-2 1-3 2 0 0 2 1 13 7 -
C. Stephens 21 1-8 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -5 -
A. Weathers 13 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
M. Jones 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
H. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Jeffers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks * 36 9-15 3-5 3-5 3 3 1 0 1 24 15 -
M. Hairston * 28 4-12 1-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 9 3 -
B. Taylor * 20 2-4 0-2 4-5 2 0 1 1 2 8 6 -
I. Crosswhite * 18 3-5 0-0 5-6 9 1 0 2 2 11 16 -
M. Platt * 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
M. Leunen 29 3-8 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 3 9 8 -
B. Lincoln 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Kent 17 2-4 0-1 2-4 7 2 0 0 2 6 9 -
R. Schafer 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
A. Zahn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Love 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter