Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. President | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Justin Harbert | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Fuqua | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| A. Owens | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Millsap | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Posey | 25 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| R. Selvage | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Donlon | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallace | 25 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Lee | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Allen | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Spencer | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| T. Hancock | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Jones | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Bell | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Bargeman | 15 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Dyer | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Forges | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Ross | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter