Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.