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2005-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.2% 35.8% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% -
Log Adjusted 72.3% 27.7% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bennett 38 8-15 2-5 7-10 6 2 2 0 3 25 17 -
D. Ruffin 34 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 5 3 0 3 0 3 -
M. Sommerville 33 5-19 3-10 2-2 6 2 1 0 3 15 2 -
J. Crouch 28 5-11 5-10 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 17 9 -
P. O'Bryant 24 3-7 0-0 4-5 5 0 1 5 2 10 12 -
L. Wright 15 1-2 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
J.J. Tauai 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
B. Heemskerk 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Rembert 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Korver 32 2-8 2-7 6-8 11 0 1 0 0 12 16 -
C. Brooks 30 2-7 0-1 6-6 3 6 3 0 3 10 12 -
P. Eggers 29 4-7 1-3 8-10 4 1 1 0 3 17 13 -
S. Tracy 24 3-6 1-1 3-4 3 4 1 0 1 10 11 -
L. Randolph 23 5-9 1-2 1-3 5 0 2 0 3 12 7 -
J. Powell 18 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
N. Works 16 1-6 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
C. Bryant 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
B. Heemskerk 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
D. Bancroft 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
L. Houston 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Grant 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter