Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nelson | 35 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| S. Arthur-Williams | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 32 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Morris | 31 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5 | - |
| A. Patterson | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Creason | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Morris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Verwers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Ball | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hood | 39 | 9-21 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| M. McCraw | 36 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 32 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Keller | 30 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Welch | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Anderson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Buchanan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Holum | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter