Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bass * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| G. Davis * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| B. Balla * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Neltner * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| X. Whipple | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Hudson | 29 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Lazare | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Steele * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Davis * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| E. Shelton * | 36 | 7-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| J. Roberson * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| J. Davidson * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Felix | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| E. Brock | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter