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2005-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 1.6% 98.4% -
Bradley-Terry 13.4% 86.6% -
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 12.9% 87.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Utah State Aggies +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Enzweiler 30 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
L. Finnegan 28 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
D. Whiten 26 7-15 4-10 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 18 6 -
T. McGinn 22 5-10 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
F. Sampson 20 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
P. Johnson 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
A. Haskins 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 0 3 -
V. Lisinac 15 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
Mike Titchenal 13 1-1 1-1 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
R.J. Socci 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Henry 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Harris 33 6-8 0-1 4-4 6 2 0 0 2 16 14 -
A. Holmes 28 4-5 4-5 2-2 1 5 2 0 2 14 15 -
J. Carroll 27 5-12 3-6 3-4 6 1 1 0 1 16 11 -
S. Nelson 25 3-5 0-1 4-6 4 5 1 0 3 10 12 -
J. Williams 24 0-3 0-1 0-2 4 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
C. McGowen 18 4-5 0-0 6-11 2 1 0 1 0 14 13 -
J. Neil 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
D. Pak 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 1 -
Calvin Brown 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
I. McVey 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter