Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Enzweiler | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Whiten | 26 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| T. McGinn | 22 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| F. Sampson | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| P. Johnson | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Haskins | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| V. Lisinac | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mike Titchenal | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Henry | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Harris | 33 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Holmes | 28 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Carroll | 27 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| S. Nelson | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Williams | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. McGowen | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Neil | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Pak | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Calvin Brown | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. McVey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter