Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars -2 (57-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Slaughter | 34 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| N. LeSure | 32 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -4 | - |
| C. Walton | 30 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Manker | 21 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Smith | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| J. Sharper | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Camara | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Hudson | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Thomas | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ainge | 38 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Hall | 36 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. Rose | 36 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Jensen | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Miles | 25 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| G. Meads | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Dawes | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Balderson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Young | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Burgess | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Nashif | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter