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2005-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 (30.0 off)
Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +34 (109-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. McCray * 28 3-17 0-6 7-8 4 3 3 0 2 13 4 -
J. Gilchrist * 26 5-8 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 11 8 -
C. Garrison * 24 5-12 1-5 2-4 3 0 1 1 1 13 5 -
N. Caner-Medley * 23 3-8 0-4 4-6 4 0 3 0 3 10 6 -
E. Ibekwe * 14 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
J. Gist 23 3-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 9 8 -
D.J. Strawberry 18 4-8 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 8 0 -
S. Ledbetter 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 3 -
W. Bowers 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Jones 9 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Grinnon 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 4 -
G. Chukura 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roche * 27 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 6 1 0 1 12 15 -
S. May * 24 5-11 0-1 4-4 6 3 2 3 6 14 11 -
E. Arriaran * 23 4-9 1-3 4-4 7 2 1 0 2 13 12 -
R. McCants * 23 7-8 2-3 3-3 2 4 2 1 2 19 18 -
J. Manuel * 18 4-6 0-1 2-4 1 2 0 1 2 10 6 -
M. Williams 22 4-7 1-2 3-4 9 3 0 1 2 12 16 -
D. Noel 14 2-4 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 2 7 5 -
R. Terry 11 4-5 1-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 11 12 -
M. Scott 11 3-5 2-3 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 9 7 -
Q. Thomas 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 0 4 -
B. Sanders 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Miller 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C.J. Hooker 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
C. Everett 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter