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2005-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% -

Actual: Florida Gators +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 36 7-16 0-2 6-10 0 1 3 0 2 20 6 -
E. Ferguson * 32 6-13 2-6 2-4 3 4 2 0 2 16 10 -
O. Famutimi * 24 5-10 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 13 9 -
C. Thomas * 22 1-3 0-0 6-6 6 0 1 0 3 8 9 -
S. Hill * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
D. Townes 21 0-3 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Modica 20 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
D. Jefferson 20 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
R. Sullivan 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 2 3 -
Michael Jones 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 35 3-10 1-5 8-8 2 3 0 0 3 15 7 -
D. Lee * 30 6-7 0-0 5-7 7 5 1 2 2 17 23 -
L. Humphrey * 27 3-5 3-4 1-4 4 5 1 0 0 10 15 -
A. Horford * 23 4-4 0-0 4-5 3 1 1 3 0 12 16 -
C. Brewer * 22 3-5 0-1 5-8 4 1 3 0 1 11 13 -
T. Green 31 1-3 0-2 4-6 0 1 0 0 5 6 -1 -
C. Richard 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Noah 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
A. Moss 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Ingram 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter