Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks +17 (56-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.