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Washington Huskies 86
@
UCLA Bruins 95
2005-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% - ✓
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% - ✗
Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 86.5% 13.5% - ✗

Actual: UCLA Bruins +9 (95-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Robinson * 35 7-13 1-3 6-8 2 3 2 0 4 21 11 -
W. Conroy * 31 4-8 1-3 0-2 4 4 0 0 3 9 6 -
L. Clemons * 29 7-15 2-4 3-3 7 1 1 0 1 19 12 -
M. Jensen * 26 6-9 3-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 15 10 -
B. Jones * 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
B. Roy 24 6-10 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 0 0 13 10 -
H. Rollins 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Williams 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Smith 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thompson * 37 11-17 2-3 5-9 9 3 1 0 3 29 22 -
J. Farmar * 34 4-11 1-3 4-7 2 7 2 0 2 13 11 -
A. Afflalo * 30 3-9 1-3 3-4 1 2 0 1 0 10 5 -
J. Shipp * 25 3-9 2-5 2-4 6 3 0 0 1 10 9 -
M. Fey * 11 2-3 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Brian Morrison 29 6-8 4-5 3-4 2 3 2 0 2 19 16 -
L. Mata-Real 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
R. Hollins 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
M. McKinney 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter