Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Al-Sayyad | 37 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Coleman | 30 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Morris | 23 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. White | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Berry | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Bell | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Bouldin | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Hernandez | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. O'Neil | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jack Marlow | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hopkins | 38 | 5-16 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| P. Simpson | 33 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Roberts | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Castro | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| J. Isham | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Pearson | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Knowles | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Killen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Hopkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Dement | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter