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2005-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 77.6% 22.4% -
Bradley-Terry 85.1% 14.9% -
Margin 90.1% 9.9% -12.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% -
Efficiency 70.7% 29.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% -
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -4 (87-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 39 8-11 6-9 10-10 4 3 2 0 2 32 28 -
A. Morrison * 35 7-19 0-3 4-8 7 5 1 0 1 18 11 -
E. Knight * 29 4-6 1-1 2-2 8 2 0 0 3 11 12 -
S. Mallon * 26 3-5 0-1 0-1 6 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
R. Turiaf * 15 1-6 1-1 1-2 4 1 1 1 2 4 3 -
J.P. Batista 22 5-8 1-1 1-3 5 2 0 0 5 12 6 -
D. Pendergraft 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 5 8 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 3 7 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bailey * 38 8-18 6-12 4-4 4 6 1 0 1 26 18 -
E. Rohde * 34 3-11 3-11 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 9 5 -
D. Perkins * 32 6-15 3-8 7-10 9 3 4 0 1 22 22 -
T. Niesen * 24 7-13 1-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 17 8 -
S. Denison * 21 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
T. Parham 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 1 4 -
J. Legge 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
B. Angley 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
S. Borchart 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Henke 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Dougherty 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter