Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Nicholls Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nicholls Colonels -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.