Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Schnitker | 39 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| D. Moss | 37 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| G. Moore | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Daanish | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Adler | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Z. McGrath | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Booe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plank | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 29 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| G. Alexander | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Guidry | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Vince Greene | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Ford | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Ford | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter