Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +25 (83-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jointer | 35 | 4-14 | 4-12 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 5 | - |
| R. Law | 29 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Smith | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| S. Spencer | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Cowherd | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Collins | 19 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Northern | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Gordon | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Ba | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Pate | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Delk | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nichols | 29 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Spencer | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| I. Wells | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Ardison | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Tipler | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| J.J. Montgomery | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. King-Holland | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Durham | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| E. Sokolov | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bailey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Banks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter