Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -14 (52-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Boylan | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 10-14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| D. White | 29 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Heard | 26 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Caracciolo | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Smith | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Washington | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Locke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Okwudibonye | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Fells | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| A. Fitzgerald | 34 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 3 | - |
| G. Ethington | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -2 | - |
| N. Campbell | 32 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Gloger | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Schraeder | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 10 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Metelski | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| P. Sanders | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter