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2005-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Carney * 40 7-17 2-7 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 18 6 -
D. Washington Jr. * 36 7-13 0-2 9-13 6 3 2 0 4 23 17 -
A. Rice * 28 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 5 7 -
D. Erwin * 20 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 2 2 1 4 -
Arthur Barclay * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
C. Walker 29 4-17 2-10 7-7 4 4 2 1 4 17 7 -
S. Njoya 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 1 4 -
J. Dorsey 11 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Beavers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Tucker * 40 5-11 0-0 8-10 4 2 2 1 1 18 15 -
K. Taylor * 32 3-10 1-6 0-0 8 1 1 0 2 7 5 -
D. Gibson * 31 4-9 3-7 6-9 2 2 1 0 2 17 11 -
L. Aldridge * 29 2-3 0-0 0-3 7 2 1 1 5 4 7 -
B. Buckman * 16 3-4 1-2 5-6 4 0 0 1 1 12 12 -
J. Klotz 27 4-7 0-0 3-7 4 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
K. Paulino 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Williams 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter