Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Reed | 34 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| R. Kelly | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Q. McDowell | 28 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Burns | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. McKnight | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| T. Stevens | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. True | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Hankins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. McDonald | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. West | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Pearson | 32 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Ward | 30 | 13-17 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 28 | - |
| D. Hopkins | 27 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Jenifer | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Dansby | 16 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| I. Redding | 12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| P. Griffith | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Wolf | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Orr | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Holder | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter