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2005-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 (4.5 off)

Actual: Murray State Racers +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Reed 34 5-10 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 11 6 -
R. Kelly 30 2-5 0-2 3-4 5 4 0 0 5 7 6 -
Q. Smith 28 4-10 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 10 4 -
O. Towers-Solis 28 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 7 1 -
C. McKnight 27 6-7 0-0 5-6 2 0 2 0 1 17 13 -
T. Stevens 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 2 0 -
J. True 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 4 3 1 -
K. Hankins 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 3 2 0 -
R. Walters 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
M. West 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pearson 32 5-13 2-6 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 12 5 -
S. Witherspoon 30 13-17 1-2 6-8 8 3 3 0 2 33 28 -
D. Hopkins 27 2-11 0-6 1-2 8 1 1 0 3 5 1 -
C. Johnson 26 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 6 1 -
K. Jenifer 26 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 5 3 0 2 6 7 -
S. Dansby 16 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 5 2 -
I. Redding 12 4-8 1-2 3-3 7 1 1 0 0 12 13 -
P. Griffith 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 2 2 -
T.J. Wolf 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Orr 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Holder 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Jackson 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter