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2005-01-05

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 87.6% 12.4% -
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% -
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 (11.5 off)
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -

Actual: Mercer Bears +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Bakanowsky 35 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 7 9 -
K. Yelle 33 4-11 2-7 4-4 5 4 2 0 5 14 9 -
M. Avant 30 4-10 2-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 5 10 1 -
J. Peppers 24 5-13 3-7 2-3 2 1 1 1 1 15 6 -
A. Williams 21 2-6 0-0 5-6 7 0 3 1 3 9 11 -
J. Rose 21 5-10 0-0 2-2 5 1 3 0 1 12 10 -
J. Nash 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 4 0 1 0 2 -
T. Lindbeck 9 0-1 0-1 0-2 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
M. Johnson 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
A. Gill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. McDonnell 35 4-7 2-5 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 13 13 -
W. Emerson 35 6-18 0-2 4-5 13 2 0 0 2 16 11 -
D. Coleman 33 2-4 0-0 4-7 4 6 3 0 2 8 15 -
W. Duke 25 1-2 0-0 9-9 10 0 0 1 4 11 16 -
R. Alacqua 21 7-11 6-10 6-6 0 1 1 0 2 26 15 -
A. Walker 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
K. Dinkins 16 1-6 0-2 2-3 1 0 3 0 3 4 -1 -
T. McCurry 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 -
K. Cruz 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Dolan 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Aaron 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter