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2005-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 70.0% 30.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 28.1% 71.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% -
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Petway * 28 6-9 0-0 2-3 7 1 2 4 0 14 19 -
J. Andrews * 17 0-0 0-0 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 4 8 -
S. Harrell * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
D. Harris 37 4-12 3-9 1-2 2 4 1 0 5 12 2 -
C. Sims 35 3-9 0-0 4-4 13 1 0 1 7 10 9 -
R. Coleman 35 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 8 8 -
D. Horton 26 5-8 2-2 1-3 2 2 1 0 2 13 8 -
C. Hunter 11 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
J.C. Mathis 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 38 5-12 3-8 1-2 2 4 1 0 2 14 7 -
A. Haluska * 36 4-9 1-4 5-5 3 0 2 0 0 14 10 -
D. Thomas * 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
P. Pierce 39 6-17 0-2 3-5 6 5 3 0 7 15 5 -
E. Hansen 32 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 6 1 2 8 -
G. Brunner 31 4-12 0-1 6-9 8 0 1 0 2 14 9 -
M. Henderson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Reed 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Thompson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter