Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sneed | 40 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 23 | - |
| T. Smith | 37 | 12-25 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 8 | - |
| A. Reed | 34 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| S. Oatman | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Anthony | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. Strong | 23 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| A. Scott | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brown | 34 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Thompson | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Elliott | 28 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Ceazer | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. McFarland | 16 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| N. Cranford | 16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Scott | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Deas | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Clayton | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Davis | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. McLaughlin-Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter