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2005-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.8% 68.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +19 (84-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Stockman * 38 7-14 2-4 3-3 2 4 0 0 1 19 10 -
T. Dials * 29 2-5 0-0 3-9 6 0 0 1 2 7 7 -
I. Harris * 24 5-8 4-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 14 10 -
J.J. Sullinger * 23 3-6 1-4 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 8 7 -
B. Fuss-Cheatham 27 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 7 1 -
J. Foster 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
M. Sylvester 17 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
J. Butler 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Matt Marinchick 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Terwilliger 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 39 6-16 1-3 1-2 2 8 0 2 1 14 9 -
L. Head * 35 2-7 1-5 2-2 6 3 1 1 2 7 9 -
D. Brown * 33 5-7 2-4 1-2 4 4 0 0 0 13 14 -
J. Augustine * 26 8-10 0-0 5-6 10 0 0 0 2 21 19 -
R. Powell * 19 5-9 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 12 9 -
J. Ingram 19 3-7 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 1 0 8 8 -
R. McBride 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Nick Smith 12 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
S. Pruitt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Carter 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter