Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (30.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +37 (90-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 37 | 5-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| I. Young | 36 | 3-17 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| N. Watson | 33 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Q. Brown | 26 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| D. Hayles | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| F. Tolbert | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Jackson | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Gaines | 9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Daniel | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Edun | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Campbell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Frazier | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| G. Ervin | 28 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| L. Roberts | 28 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Shane Power | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| O. Harper | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Slater | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 15 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| W. Sharpe | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Morgan | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Boler | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Begley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. McTiller | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter