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2005-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% +20.2 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +23.8 โœ“ (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.3% 87.7% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (59-46). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Venable * 39 8-13 0-1 5-6 4 3 3 1 7 21 12 -
Scott Greenman * 35 2-7 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 -4 -
Judson Wallace * 33 6-16 0-4 0-0 10 2 5 3 1 12 15 -
Matt Sargeant * 23 0-6 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Noah Savage * 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Luke Owings 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 5 7 -
Andre Logan 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
Max Schafer 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Stephens 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JJ Redick * 39 3-10 1-3 14-14 2 2 2 0 5 21 12 -
Daniel Ewing * 34 3-10 0-3 3-5 2 3 1 2 5 9 2 -
Sean Dockery * 33 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 7 4 -
S. Williams * 32 3-7 0-0 1-2 14 0 1 4 4 7 15 -
Lee Melchionni * 28 2-5 0-1 2-2 4 2 2 0 2 6 7 -
DeMarcus Nelson 23 2-5 1-1 2-2 9 0 1 0 0 7 12 -
P. Johnson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 4 -
David McClure 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Davidson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter