Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (59-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Venable * | 39 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 12 | - |
| S. Greenman * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| J. Wallace * | 33 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Sargeant * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Savage * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Owings | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Andre Logan | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Schafer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Stephens | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 39 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 14-14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 12 | - |
| D. Ewing * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Williams * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | - |
| L. Melchionni * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Nelson | 23 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| P. Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. McClure | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Davidson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter