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2005-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.6 (11.6 off)

Actual: Bradley Braves +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Chaney 31 1-13 0-5 3-3 7 3 1 0 2 5 1 -
N. Bilyeu 30 1-5 1-2 4-5 9 0 1 0 2 7 10 -
D. Thompson 29 2-12 0-3 2-4 6 3 1 0 1 6 3 -
D. Mitchell 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
S. Frazier 17 5-8 0-0 9-15 6 0 1 1 2 19 17 -
A. Shavies 17 6-12 2-5 2-4 7 1 4 0 1 16 15 -
B. Ahearn 15 1-5 1-5 2-2 0 1 0 1 1 5 1 -
T. Maclin 15 2-5 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 0 4 5 1 -
Trevyor Fisher 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Easley 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Richards 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Nicholson 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin 34 3-6 1-3 0-1 1 8 1 1 4 7 8 -
M. Sommerville 33 8-14 1-2 5-6 9 0 1 1 1 22 18 -
J. Crouch 24 3-7 1-4 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
T. Bennett 21 4-8 0-1 6-9 5 2 1 0 1 14 13 -
J.J. Tauai 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 5 2 0 2 0 9 -
M. Rembert 19 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 3 10 7 -
L. Wright 16 2-3 0-0 2-6 3 1 1 1 4 6 5 -
P. O'Bryant 16 2-4 0-0 1-5 6 1 2 7 1 5 16 -
D. Adams 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Heemskerk 5 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
L. Stemler 3 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
K. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Heirman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter