Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +23 (69-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Nolen | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 9-12 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 19 | - |
| T. Abernethy | 31 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Patterson | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Parnell | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| M. Moore | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Doyne | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Fox | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Peterson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Harden | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| B. Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ferguson | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| J. Payne | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-7 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| O. Famutimi | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Townes | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Hill | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Modica | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Sullivan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Michael Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Monk | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter