Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | -9.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -4.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -4 (64-68). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 45 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Jerry Smith | 40 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bryan Boerjan | 38 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jon Mills | 36 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Randall Gulina | 28 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Merritt | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Josh Hare | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Travis Peterson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Curtis West | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 42 | 8-20 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Wilson | 38 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B.J. Spencer | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Dorien Brown | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tim Lewis | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Miller | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Lumpkin | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rod Venner | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter