Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Naylor | 36 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L. Burroughs | 35 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| M. Turner | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Stoermer | 32 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Dill | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Green | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| A. Oupoh | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Broussard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Canady | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Murry | 31 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| C. Santee | 30 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| F. Ibikunle | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Sloan | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Shropshire | 22 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Reese-Hackett | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Stubbs | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Curtis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Owens | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Adams | 6 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| N. Dougherty | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Pierce | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Valsin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter