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2005-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 86.6% 13.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.3% 34.7% -
Margin 66.5% 33.5% -3.8 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Arthur-Williams 33 1-7 0-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -4 -
J. Rakiecki 33 6-14 4-10 2-2 5 0 0 0 4 18 5 -
M. Morris 32 5-9 0-3 4-5 4 0 2 0 3 14 8 -
S. Verwers 25 3-9 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 1 1 7 9 -
M. Nelson 24 4-8 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 0 2 10 10 -
J. Smith 23 2-6 0-1 3-6 6 3 0 0 1 7 9 -
S. Creason 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
A. Patterson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
P. Thomasson 4 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
S. Morris 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
N. Ball 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Williams 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McGowan 40 9-19 3-5 10-18 22 0 3 0 0 31 37 -
A. Acker 40 5-11 1-1 7-8 3 5 1 0 3 18 13 -
Y. Diawara 37 3-14 0-2 6-10 9 1 2 0 3 12 7 -
C. Griffin 26 2-6 1-4 4-4 4 1 0 1 1 9 8 -
J. Pinegar 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 1 0 3 5 -
T. Forehan-Kelly 15 0-2 0-1 0-1 1 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Henry 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 0 1 -
R. Hicks 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 0 4 6 -
C. Roush 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Costain 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter